Climate Change Impact on Peruvian Biomes
نویسندگان
چکیده
The biodiversity present in Peru will be affected by climatic and anthropogenic changes; therefore, understanding these changes help generate conservation policies. This study analyzes the potential distributions of biomes (B) under effects climate change. evaluation was carried out using random forest (RF) method, six bioclimatic variables, digital topography for classification current B Peru. Subsequently, calibrated RF model assimilated to three downscaled regional models project future 2035–2065 horizon. We evaluated possible extension elevation as well most susceptible B. Our projections show that scenarios agreed 82% coverage remain stable. Approximately 6% area change its conditions higher humidity; 4.5% maintain a stable physiognomy, but with an increase finally, experience decrease humidity appearance. Additionally, glaciers swamps are indicated vulnerable B, probable losses greater than 50% their area. These results demonstrate need public policies adaptation mitigation on at national scale.
منابع مشابه
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Forests
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['1999-4907']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/f13020238